| Today's Economy
A Yield Curve State of Mind An inversion will eventually occur, but this U.S. economic expansion has room to run. Europe Daily Briefing: The ECB Will Stand Pat We do expect the bank to turn more hawkish by summer. Webinar Replay: Assessing Trump's Trade Policy Tariffs signal a significant shift and could be the precursor to much more damaging trade actions. President Trump's Tariffs—Q&A We answer questions about the possible consequences of significant changes in U.S. trade policy. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. Federal Government Outlook: Defense Spending Revival Defense outlays matter for the real economy, especially at the regional level. Next Recession Can't Be Blamed on Consumer Credit Markets Lending goes mostly to those with high credit scores, but consumers will nevertheless be affected. U.S. Chartbook: Housing and Labor Markets Face Supply Constraints Threats to trade rattle some nerves but leave no imprints on incoming data. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, April 20, 2018 First quarter economic growth is on the agenda. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
April 20: -0.2%
Mortgage applications fell modestly last week after rising in the previous week. Mexico
Retail & Wholesale Sales
Feb. 2018: 1.2%
Household consumption advanced further in February as spending started to increase in preparation for the political campaigns. United States
Business Employment Dynamics
2017Q3: 7.3 mil
Private sector employment fell by 140,000 during the third quarter of 2017, the first loss since the first quarter of 2010. United States
Oil Inventories
April 20: 429.7 mil barrels
An unexpected increase in crude oil inventories will put downward pressure on prices. France
Job Seekers
Mar. 2018: 3.42 mil
The number of French job seekers remained relatively steady at 3.42 million in March after plummeting in the previous month to the lowest level since August 2014. South Korea
GDP
2018Q1:
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