Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than 300 economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Monday, April 01, 2019

Today's Economy


Economic Roundup: No Joke, Q1 U.S. GDP Looking Better

Consumers are not helping but inventories and construction spending are nudging Q1 GDP higher.

Not Much Help From the Consumer

U.S. retail sales disappointed, but construction spending jumped.

Europe Daily Briefing: Doom and Gloom

The day brought disappointing news for the euro zone economies.

Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: That's a Serious Drop

Japan's Tankan Survey fell to its lowest in two years; capital spending plans have slumped.

» VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY



Commentary


U.S. Chartbook: Temporary Weakness

Some indicators disappointed due to fleeting factors, but the labor market is sanguine.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 29, 2019

A run of solid data would temper concerns about a downturn.

Let's Talk About the Yield Curve

Recession signal likely overdone unless we talk ourselves into a downturn.

Life After a No-Deal Brexit

Some of the disruptions would be cushioned by contingency plans; some wouldn't.

» VIEW MORE COMMENTARY



Today's Economic Indicators


Russian Federation
GDP
2018Q4:

Italy
Unemployment
Feb. 2019: 10.7%
Italy’s labor market weakened in February, with the unemployment rate rising to 10.7% from 10.5% in January.

Euro Zone
Preliminary Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2019: 1.4%
Preliminary numbers showed that euro zone inflation slowed to 1.4% in March from 1.5% in February, in line with our expectations.

Peru
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2019: 2.2%
Inflation in the Lima metropolitan area is rising on cue.

United States
Retail Sales
Feb. 2019: -0.2%
Retail sales disappointed in February, falling 0.2%.

United States
Construction Spending (C30)
Feb. 2019: 1.0%
U.S. construction spending advanced 1% in February, well ahead of the consensus estimate of a 0.2% decrease.

World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
March 29: 14.8
Global business sentiment has stabilized in recent weeks, but it is soft and consistent with a global economy that is growing below its potential.

United States
Business Inventories (MTIS)
Jan. 2019: 0.8%
Inventories expanded in January by 0.8%, pushing past consensus expectations of 0.5% growth.

United States
ISM Manufacturing Index
Mar. 2019: 55.3
U.S. manufacturing conditions improved in March as the ISM index hit 55.3, up from 54.2 in February.

Brazil
Foreign Trade
Mar. 2019: US$4.99 bil
Brazil’s trade surplus rose further to $4.99 billion in March, an increase of $1.32 billion from the February balance of $3.67 billion.

South Korea
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2019:

Australia
Monetary Policy
Apr. 2019:

» VIEW MORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS

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