If this email is not being displayed properly, please click here.

ma_header_ecca
March 11, 2016

Dismal Scientist Daily Update

Highlights from Moody's Analytics forward looking, up-to-the-minute coverage of the global economy.


» Today's Commentary
» Insight on Critical Issues
» Today's Releases
» Survey of Business Confidence
» Reader's Choice

Today's Commentary

Canada Weekly: Canada's Net Worth Rises in 2015
Mortgage liabilities jumped at a rapid clip.

Argentina Inflation Accelerates
The government adjusted residential electricity rates by 255% on average.

LatAm Weekly: Peru Joins the Inflation Club
The country is catching the currency-depreciation bug, eroding price stability.

Weather Is Depressing U.S. Initial Claims
Even adjusting for weather, the trend in jobless claims remains solid.

View More Analysis


Insight on Critical Issues

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 11, 2016
Mounting evidence says that recession fears are premature.

Macro Roundup: Some Upside in China's Trade
Stronger import volumes suggest demand is not as weak as first thought.

Latin America Economic Preview: 14-18 March
Production still underperforms in South America.

Asia-Pacific Economic Preview: 14-18 March
Data will show that risks to the Asia-Pacific outlook remain downwardly skewed.

View More Analysis


Today's Releases

FlagCanadaLabor Force Survey
February7.3%
Canada's unemployment rate edged up further in February, to 7.3% from 7.2% in January, as employment ...
 
FlagGermanyConsumer Price Index
February0.0%
Germany's annual national measure of CPI slowed to zero in February, following 0.6% growth in January. ...
 
FlagIndiaIndustrial Production
January-1.5%
India’s industrial production remains weak, confirming that the economy is operating under a negative ...
 
FlagItalyIndustrial Production
January1.9%
Italy’s industrial production improved in January, with output rising 1.9% m/m after a 0.6% drop in the ...
 
FlagMexicoIndustrial Production
January1.1%
Mexico’s industry continues to show weakness and is performing well below capacity. The industry is affected ...
 
FlagRussian FederationGovernment Finance
JanuaryRUB0.56 tril
Russia's consolidated budget was in surplus in January, at RUB0.56 trillion, as the drop in expenditures ...
 
FlagRussian FederationForeign Trade
JanuaryUS$7.9 bil
Russia’s merchandise trade surplus stood at $7.9 billion in January, down from $11 billion in December. ...
 
FlagSpainConsumer Price Index
February-0.8%
Spain’s headline inflation fell by 0.8% y/y in February after decreasing 0.3% in the previous month. ...
 
FlagUnited KingdomForeign Trade
January-£10.3 bil
The U.K. trade balance for goods was in deficit by £10.3 billion in January, slightly down from an upwardly ...
 
FlagUnited StatesECRI Weekly Leading Index
03/04/2016131.0
Strong economic data in the reference week put significant upward pressure on the ECRI Weekly Leading ...
 
FlagUnited StatesImport and Export Prices
February-0.3%
The disinflationary grip U.S. import prices has on domestic inflation dynamics may finally be abating. ...
 
View More Releases


Survey of Business Confidence

Latest: 29.2

The slide in global business confidence that began during the summer seems to be over. Sentiment still appears fragile, but survey responses are no longer eroding. The weakest response is to businesses’ assessments of present conditions; there are roughly as many respondents saying conditions are improving as saying they are weakening. Expectations regarding the outlook this summer remain stronger. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good, and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential.

View Full Analysis


Reader's Choice

Global Outlook: Calling All Hands
Collective action is needed to protect the recovery.

U.S. Macro Outlook: Myth Busting
The electorate seems unconvinced, but solid fundamentals are driving the economy.

Candidate Report Card: The Republicans
Tax proposals are transparent, simple and expensive.

Fed Should Allow Inflation to Overshoot the 2% Target
The anticipated acceleration in inflation appears under way, but the Fed should remain patient.

U.S. Chartbook: Silencing the Critics
Job growth and vehicle sales in February should allay concerns about the economy.



About Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation, helps capital markets and credit risk management professionals worldwide respond to an evolving marketplace with confidence. Through its team of economists, Moody’s Analytics is a leading independent provider of research, credit risk management, modeling, data, and forecasts at the global, national and subnational levels.

Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Analytics
customized models, concise and timely research, and one of the largest assembled financial, economic and demographic databases support firms and policymakers in strategic planning, product and sales forecasting, credit risk and sensitivity management, and investment research. Learn more:

»
Access more than 260 million economic, demographic and financial time series for more than 180 countries, updated daily, at the global, macro and regional levels.
»
Consult more than 40 forecast databases covering global, macro and regional economics as well as specific concepts such as industry and consumer credit.
»
Utilize comprehensive, concise and timely analysis on the current and expected economic conditions of global, macro and regional economies to manage exposure to potential risks.
»
Forecast and stress-test consumer credit portfolios from default risk to revenue growth.
»
Optimize your decision-making process by leveraging our extensive expertise (research, models, data, consulting) as well as your own internal information systems.

 



NOT A SUBSCRIBER?

Start a FREE 14-Day Trial


UPCOMING EVENTS
The Topsy-Turvy World of Negative Interest Rates
March 16, 2016


EBA Scenarios for the 2016 EU-wide Stress Test
March 23, 2016


Moody's Analytics Economic Briefing - Stamford CT
March 24, 2016


Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Briefing - San Francisco CA
April 05, 2016


View More Events

STAY IN TOUCH
Economy.com economy.com
LinkedIn linkedIn
Twitter twitter
RSS rss
CONTACT US

Visit us online at www.economy.com, email [email protected], or use one of the numbers below:
AMERICAS
+1.866.275.3266

EUROPE
+44.20.7772.5454
 
ASIA-PACIFIC
+852.3551.3077

ALL OTHERS
+1.610.235.5299

This email was sent by Moody's Analytics
121 North Walnut Street, Suite 500
West Chester, PA 19380-3166
United States

We respect your right to privacy - View our privacy policy

Click here to unsubscribe from this email.

-----------------------------------------
The information contained in this e-mail message, and any attachment thereto, is confidential and may not be disclosed without our express permission. If you are not the intended recipient or an employee or agent responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this message in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution or copying of this message, or any attachment thereto, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. If you have received this message in error, please immediately notify us by telephone, fax or e-mail and delete the message and all of its attachments. Thank you. Every effort is made to keep our network free from viruses. You should, however, review this e-mail message, as well as any attachment thereto, for viruses. We take no responsibility and have no liability for any computer virus which may be transferred via this e-mail message.

g:85B3EBFAD669444AADD56E9FF3340B59 d:00C337DE4C60410BB79AB29166BA40E3