Decent Recovery But MBS Underperform On Thursday, 10yr yields came close to spiking 20bps, trough to peak, in the wake of hotter CPI data and a lousy 30yr bond auction.  That's a brisk day of selling and one that didn't line up with this week's theme (adjusting to softer Fed comments and pricing in some safe-haven flows surrounding the Israel/Gaza War). Today's rally started early and stayed strong all night.  A pop in consumer inflation expectations brought the rally to an end, but bonds held on to gains without any drama in the PM hours.  MBS underperformed along with the short end of the yield curve.  Econ Data / EventsImport Prices0.1 vs 0.5 f'cast, 0.6 prev Export Prices0.7 vs 0.5 f'cast 1.1 prev Consumer Sentiment63.0 vs 67.2, 68.1 prev 1yr inflation expectations3.8 vs 3.2 prev 5yr inflation expectations3.0 vs 2.8 prev Market Movement Recap10:11 AM Steady gains overnight, flattening out into domestic hours.  10yr down 7.6bps at 4.621.  MBS up a quarter point 11:46 AM Slightly weaker into mid-day.  Consumer inflation expectations aren't helping. MBS up only an eighth on the day.  10yr down 5.8bps at 4.639. 03:42 PM Very flat all day after earlier selling.  10yr down 7.2bps at 4.625,  MBS up just over an eighth of a point.
MND logo
October 13, 2023
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
View the QR Code
Download our Mobile App:
Download from Google Play
Download from Apple App Store
MBS Commentary
Decent Recovery But MBS Underperform On Thursday, 10yr yields came close to spiking 20bps, trough to peak, in the wake of hotter CPI data and a lousy 30yr bond auction.  That's a brisk day of selling and... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Today, as I head to Chicago (from the Native American word shikaakwa, for the wild onion) on my way to Philadelphia, I received this note. “Rob, why is PenFed exiting from correspondent?” Well, you should talk to your PenFed rep. But if anyone had to... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries