According to the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB), 87.5 million households, 69 percent of the nation’s total, cannot afford to buy a new median priced home because they lack sufficient incomes to qualify for a mortgage under standard underwriting criteria. The figure comes from NAHB’s annual “priced out estimates” which show how higher prices and interest rates affect affordability. The author of the study, Na Zhao, says affordability was determined using a median new home price of $412,506 and a mortgage rate of 3.50 percent. This resulted in a monthly mortgage payment of $1,822. Given those parameters, as well as a fixed price of $493 for taxes and insurance, he estimated that the median household income needed to qualify for a mortgage is $99,205 per year. With that scenario, 39.205 million households could currently purchase that median priced home. However, if the home price increased $1000, with all other criteria remaining the same, the additional $4 added to the monthly mortgage payment would raise the minimum household income required to $99,445. That added $240 per year would knock 117,932 households out of the ability to qualify for a mortgage. NAHB’s housing affordability pyramid (below) represents the number of households that can only afford homes at or below a certain price. Using conventional assumptions and underwriting criteria, an income of $36,074 is needed to purchase a $150,000 home and about 36 million households have no more than that income. Each step on the pyramid represents a maximum affordable price range for fewer and fewer households.
Housing News | | According to the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB), 87.5 million households, 69 percent of the nation’s total, cannot afford to buy a new median priced home because they lack sufficient incomes to qualify for a mortgage under standard und... (read more) |
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Housing News | | The sources that gather such data have all reported a steady decline in mortgage delinquencies since last summer and are all stages are now close to the historic lows that existed prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, ATTOM says foreclosure activ... (read more) |
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| Last Friday was an interesting day for mortgage rates and the broader bond market. Rates began the day roughly in line with Thursday's latest levels, but bonds lost ground throughout the morning. Multiple lenders adjusted rates higher before 1:30pm. After that, headlines made the rounds regarding the potential Russian invasion of Ukraine,... (read more) |
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| Comic Misdirection Between Headlines and Markets Geopolitical issues remain at the forefront as far as financial markets are concerned, but only due to the absence of anything new or interesting on the inflation/Fed front. Twitter (something that markets actually pay attention to) was ablaze with various headli... (read more) |
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