Whatâs going on here? Despite usually refusing to see eye to eye, two indexes just agreed on one thing: Chinaâs manufacturing sector seems to be back in business. What does this mean? Chinaâs private Caixin purchasing managersâ index (PMI) measures the level of activity in the manufacturing sector. That puts it right at the top of economistsâ reading lists: Chinaâs economy relies on manufacturing and exporting, after all. Well in March, the Caixin reading picked up for the fifth month in a row â the longest run in two years. Whatâs more, the countryâs official manufacturing PMI broke its five-month slump, landing at its highest point in a year. That means both the private and public readings came in better than expected, a promising sign after months spent moving in different directions. Why should I care? Zooming out: 99 problems, even if manufacturing isnât one. Chinaâs government had predicted (or at least, optimistically hoped) that the economy would grow by 5% this year. But while that manufacturing data is moving in the right direction, many experts believe the government will still need to put in a few extra shifts to reach that target â especially because the property market is far from stable. Chinese authorities are worried about foreign trade opportunities, too, now that countries like the US are favoring locally produced products over Chinese ones. That could run down orders on some of Chinaâs biggest sellers â like electric vehicles, for example. The bigger picture: India versus China. China and Indiaâs stock markets moved in tandem for around two decades, up until late 2021. But investors have piled into Indian stocks over the last year, making bets on the countryâs young, expanding workforce and leaving Chinaâs languishing stocks on the sidelines. So now, the two markets are less in sync than ever. That said, Chinaâs latest data might turn investorsâ heads by promising potential while stocks are still going cheap. |