What’s going on here? The US and China struck a new deal over rare earth minerals on Thursday, making the terms of their high-stakes beef a little less raw. What does this mean? China’s been putting the “rare” in rare earths lately, refusing to send many of the critical minerals stateside. That’s a serious trump card (pun intended): rare earths power everything from electric cars to solar cells and military jets. But it looks like the country’s willing to fold. China just agreed to ship over more rare earths – with no expiration date, unlike last time – in exchange for America dropping a few of its export rules. This might not be the only hard-won handshake we see in the next couple of weeks. The US president is eager to make pacts with ten other trade partners before July 9th, when tariffs are set to be taken off pause. It’ll pay to play ball: the earlier countries make a deal with the States, the better their terms will likely be. Why should I care? For markets: Welcome to the red, white, and green. This agreement should bring supply back to American firms’ supply chains. That means the green transition is a go again: clean energy firms use rare earths to build wind and solar power solutions, while carmakers need them for EVs. Mind you, US manufacturers have been burned before. So, wary of relying on a trade relationship that can turn on a dime, they’re cozying up to mining companies in Australia, Canada, and Africa just in case. Zooming out: I scratch your back… China’s not just feeling charitable. Profit from the country’s factories fell 9% between April and May – the biggest drop since October – despite government stimulus checks. So you can see why the country wants the shackles off its export industry: if China’s domestic demand won’t bring home the bacon, America’s international helping probably can. |