| Joe Biden is the odds-on favorite after we simulated the primary election 10,000 times. But a lot can change. It’s easy to get lost in a sea of information about the likely outcome of a presidential campaign, from polls to stirring campaign trail reportage. So OZY teamed up data firm 0ptimus and Decision Desk HQ to present “The Forecast.” Launching today, The Forecast is an exclusive prediction model that breaks down polls, demographics, fundraising figures, historical trends and more to determine who will be the next Democratic nominee for president. And today, less than one week out from the Iowa caucuses, we find that Joe Biden has the best shot — with a 37 percent chance of winning a majority of delegates to become the nominee. But the race is still so fluid that there’s a 36 percent chance no candidate gets a majority of delegates and this turns into a floor fight at the Democratic National Convention. | 
