Trusted by over 100,000 blockchain investors.
HEALTH, WEALTH, AND HAPPINESS
March 18, 2021
BLOCKCHAIN FOR EVERYONE, our blockchain investing bible,
is now available in Taiwan! Click to order here.
Hi Everyone,

Much has been said about bitcoin's ability to hedge inflation, but please don't crucify me for saying that I'm not convinced.

Of course, the definition of the word hedge as "an investment made with the intention of reducing risk" immediately tells us that the matter is completely subjective to whoever is placing the trade.

For example, a person may buy a plate with the intention of drinking water out of it, but that doesn't mean it's the best tool for the job.

This article from our friends at Bloomberg presents a lot of great points that may upset the bitcoin maximalists among us. ...
To me, an effective hedge against inflation should probably rise at approximately the same rate that money is losing value. 

Bitcoin is up more than 100% since the start of year, and I'm pretty sure that the value of the dollar has not experienced a similar decrease in this time frame.

So, this puts the nascent cryptocurrency firmly in the category of a speculative asset, at least in my mind.
Inflation is coming

That's not to say that bitcoin isn't a great store of value. Especially in the present environment where, with a large thanks to the efforts from global central banks, speculative assets are widely preferred over savings in the bank.

According to the Federal Reserve's forecasts yesterday, inflation (the consumer price index) is likely to ramp up to 2.4% by the end of the year. This is alarmingly high.

Even though their long-term assessment is that elevated levels of inflation will be temporary, common sense and the bond market says they are bluffing, and everybody knows it.

So, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, or J-Pow, along with his counterparts at the European Central Bank, Bank of England, and The People's Bank of China will continue to double down and "support the economy" by debasing the currency, even as federal governments hand out helicopter money directly to their respective citizens.

Have a wonderful afternoon.







Mati Greenspan
Analysis, Advisory, Money Management