US inflation remained firm in October rather than continuing its irregular descent, giving the Federal Reserve less room to maneuver in completing any soft landing. The so-called core consumer price index—which excludes food and energy costs—increased 0.3% for a third month. Over the last three months it rose at a 3.6% annualized rate, marking the fastest pace since April, according to Bloomberg calculations. Regionally, however, the picture can vary. Phoenix and Atlanta, once inflation hotspots, are now seeing prices rise at the slowest rate among big US cities. Prices in Arizona’s biggest metro increased 1.6% in October from a year earlier, a major slowdown from a peak pace of 13% in August 2022. In Atlanta, where the rate went as high as 11.7% two years ago, prices rose 1.9% in the last month. The two metro areas also exemplify the disconnect between data and public sentiment about the economy, a crucial issue for voters in the election last week. While the rate of inflation is now below the Fed’s 2% target in both cities, costs of living—particularly rents—remain far higher than before the pandemic. —David E. Rovella |