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| Trade War Fears Fade—For Now. |
| Hi Traders, A sense of calm returned to financial markets on Tuesday as investors shrugged off fresh trade war concerns, even as tensions between the Trump administration and China persisted. Monday's market turmoil followed President Donald Trump’s weekend announcement of new 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, alongside an additional 10% tariff on China, which dragged the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq to their lowest close in over a week. Bond markets also reacted, with long-term Treasury yields hitting some of 2025's lowest closing levels. However, as tariffs on Mexico and Canada were delayed by a month, markets saw a rebound. The Dow and S&P 500 edged higher, while the ICE U.S. Dollar Index dropped nearly 0.9% to 108.06. Treasury yields stabilized after an initial spike, as China retaliated with 10% and 15% tariffs on select U.S. goods, set to take effect next Monday. Despite the market swings, investors appear to be looking past the latest tariff headlines, focusing instead on broader economic fundamentals. One key measure of market volatility, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), fell to 16.89, staying below its long-term average of 19.5. Analysts suggest this signals that recent trade concerns were already priced in. Yet, not all experts are convinced that the market can absorb continued policy uncertainty. Standard Bank's Steven Barrow warns that Trump's unpredictable approach could make financial markets increasingly difficult to navigate. The dollar’s sharp fluctuations highlight concerns that tariff policies can change on a whim, eroding confidence in U.S. decision-making. Adding to the uncertainty, analysts at BofA Global Research argue that Trump’s use of tariffs as a negotiating tool has pushed U.S. trade policy uncertainty to record levels. They caution that market participants should assume nothing is final until signed, and that U.S. economic policy threats must be taken both seriously and literally. For now, AI stocks and other growth sectors remain resilient, but investors will be watching closely to see whether escalating trade tensions eventually trigger broader financial instability—or if markets continue to brush off the noise. - The Team at Altos Trading In the next article, Central banks are extending their gold-buying spree into 2025, driving demand to record highs as economic uncertainty and shifting U.S. policies fuel the metal’s safe-haven appeal. |
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| Stated results are from hypothetical options applied to real published trade alerts. From 4/17/24 - 10/23/24 the result was a 73% win rate on 634 trade signals on the underlying stock. Performance is not indicative of future results. Trade at your own risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. By clicking the link above you agree to periodic updates from ProsperityPub and its partners (privacy policy) |
Why central banks are hoarding gold—and why it’s not stopping soon |
| Gold demand remains robust as central banks extend their 15-year buying streak, pushing total global demand for the precious metal to record levels in 2024. According to the World Gold Council’s latest Gold Demand Trends report, central banks and institutional buyers purchased 1,044.6 metric tons of gold last year, marking the third consecutive year where buying topped 1,000 metric tons—far exceeding the 473-metric-ton annual average recorded between 2010 and 2021. Overall, total gold demand reached 4,974.5 metric tons in 2024, a 1% increase from the previous year, driven in part by a 25% year-on-year surge in investment demand, which hit a four-year high of 1,179.5 metric tons. Looking ahead, the first half of 2025 is expected to bring fresh catalysts for gold, with economic uncertainty and shifting U.S. policies playing a major role. The return of the Trump administration has introduced new variables in monetary, fiscal, and trade policy, all of which could impact gold’s role as a strategic asset. Trade tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada are expected to increase inflationary pressures, which could weaken purchasing power and drive more investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset. The World Gold Council sees central banks and exchange-traded-fund investors continuing to drive demand, emphasizing that their appetite for gold shows no signs of slowing. The report also highlights that forecasting central bank demand remains challenging, as purchases are often dictated by shifting policy decisions. With geopolitical and economic uncertainty running high, central banks are expected to once again turn to gold as a stable strategic asset, reinforcing its position as a cornerstone of global reserves in the year ahead. |
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| Disclaimer: The Altos Trading Alert Newsletter is published as an information service for subscribers, and it includes opinions as to buying, selling and holding various stocks and other securities. However, the publishers of the Altos Trading Alert Newsletter are not brokers or investment advisers, and do not provide investment advice or recommendations directed to any particular subscriber or in view of the particular circumstances of any particular person. Altos Trading, including its owner, does not participate in any trades issued through the alert services. Subscribers to Altos Trading or any other persons who buy, sell or hold securities should do so with caution and consult with a broker or investment adviser before doing so. Trading securities and options involves risk. Prior to buying or selling an option, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Investors need a broker to trade securities and options, and must meet suitability requirements. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performance figures are based on actual recommendations. Due to the time critical nature of trading, brokerage fees, and the activity of other subscribers, there is no guarantee that subscribers will mirror the performance of the service. Performance numbers shown are based on trades subscribers could enter based on the trade alerts. Altos Trading, LLC assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred by any individual or entity as a result of trade alerts or strategies taught through courses or coaching services. 7154 W State Street
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