Dollar, Yen and Franc in Three-Horse Race as Risk Aversion Intensifies
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-19-21

Dollar, Yen and Franc in Three-Horse Race as Risk Aversion Intensifies

Selloff in commodity currencies intensifies today as risk sentiment turn sour again. Major European indexes are all in deep red while US futures point to lower open. Yen, Swiss Franc and Dollar are taking turns to be the strongest one in a three-horse race. Aussie is so far the worst performing, followed by Loonie and Kiwi. But there is not much difference between the three. Euro and Sterling are mixed for now, stuck in the middle. WTI crude oil also dives below 64k handle, but Gold is resilient at around 1780.

Technically, we'll pay attention to development in EUR/GBP for the rest of the session. Firm break of 0.8556 support will suggest that fall form 0.8668 is over, and bring retest of this resistance. That could also be a prelude to larger bullish reversal. If that happens we'd also likely see GBP/USD drops further to 1.3570 support GBP/JPY would also follow and drop to 148.43 support. There are where the key support level for the Pound to defend.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -1.94%. DAX is down -1.96%. CAC is down -2.65%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.002 at -0.481. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.10%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -2.13%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.57%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.42%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0003 to 0.017.

Full Report Here

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3727; (P) 1.3757; (R1) 1.3786; More...

GBP/USD's fall continues to as low as 1.3673 so far and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.3570 support. Break there will resume the fall form 1.4248 to 1.3482 resistance turned support. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1409 to 1.4248 at 1.3164. On the upside, above 1.3785 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:30 AUD Employment Change Jul 2.2K -45.0K 29.1K
01:30 AUD Unemployment Rate Jul 4.60% 5.00% 4.90%
06:00 CHF Trade Balance (CHF) Jul 5.25B 4.78B 5.53B 5.47B
08:00 EUR Eurozone Current Account (EUR) Jun 21.8B 12.3B 11.7B 13.9B
12:30 CAD ADP Employment Change Jul 221.3K -294.2K
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 13) 348K 362K 375K 377K
12:30 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Aug 19.4 24.3 21.9
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 28B 49B