Dollar Recovers as Markets Stabilize, Euro Pressured by PMI and Dovish ECB Accounts

Action Insight Mid-Day 5-22-25

Dollar Recovers as Markets Stabilize, Euro Pressured by PMI and Dovish ECB Accounts

Dollar staged a broad recovery today as financial markets found some footing following a volatile stretch dominated by US deficit concerns. US futures are trading flat, while 10-year Treasury yield has pared back modestly from recent highs, signaling a pause in the bond selloff. The calmer tone helped the greenback regain some traction.

Support for Dollar came even after a narrow passage of a sweeping tax and spending bill in the US House of Representatives. The legislation, central to President Donald Trump's policy agenda, introduces a range of tax breaks, most notably on tips and car loans, while substantially boosting military and border enforcement budgets. The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill would add approximately USD 3.8 Trillion to debt over the next decade....

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8211; (P) 0.8251; (R1) 0.8251; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 0.8475 resistance holds. Corrective rebound from 0.8038 should have completed already. Below 0.8208 will bring retest of 0.8038 first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9200 to 0.8038 from 0.8475 at 0.7757 next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI May P 51.7 51.7
23:00 AUD Services PMI May P 50.5 51
23:50 JPY Machinery Orders M/M Mar 13.00% -1.60% 4.30%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI May P 49 49 48.7
00:30 JPY Services PMI May P 50.8 52.4
06:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Apr 20.2B 17.7B 16.4B
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI May P 49.5 48.9 48.7
07:15 EUR France Services PMI May P 47.4 47.7 47.3
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI May P 48.8 49 48.4
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI May P 47.2 49.5 49
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI May P 49.4 49.4 49
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI May P 48.9 50.4 50.1
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Business Climate May 87.5 87.7 86.9
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Current Assessment May 86.1 87 86.4
08:00 EUR Germany IFO Expectations May 88.9 88.3 87.4
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI May P 45.1 46.2 45.4
08:30 GBP Services PMI May P 50.2 50 49
11:30 EUR ECB Meeting Accounts
12:30 CAD Industrial Product Price M/M Apr -0.80% -0.50% 0.50% 0.30%
12:30 CAD Raw Material Price Index Apr -3.00% -2.20% -1% -0.70%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (May 16) 227K 230K 229K
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI May P 49.9 50.2
13:45 USD Services PMI May P 51 50.8
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Apr 4.10M 4.02M
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 118B 110B