Markets Steady as US Yields Dip Amid Continuous Tariff Rumors

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-25-25

Markets Steady as US Yields Dip Amid Continuous Tariff Rumors

Global financial markets are relatively stable heading into the end of the week, with risk appetite showing further signs of improvement. European equities are trading modestly higher, following rebounds seen earlier in Japan and Hong Kong. However, US futures are slightly in the red despite strong earnings reports from tech heavyweights Alphabet and Intel. Still, one supportive development is the continued pullback in US Treasury yields, with the 10-year dipping below 4.3% mark—viewed as a positive sign for US assets.

Meanwhile, the trade war front is seeing renewed speculation, especially regarding US-China tariff relations. According to multiple media reports, China has quietly granted tariff exemptions on some US goods—including integrated circuits—previously subject to its 125% retaliatory duties. While no formal statement has been issued by Chinese authorities, there are reports of internal government consultations with foreign businesses. A list of 131 product categories is circulating on social media is believed to outline those under consideration for exemption. These steps signal a possible softening of Beijing's stance and a willingness to preserve critical supply chains.

Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump told Time magazine that China is actively engaging in talks with Washington to strike a tariff deal, and claimed that President Xi Jinping had recently called him. However, China’s Foreign Ministry declined to comment on Trump’s statement and previously warned the US to stop “misleading the public” about the status of bilateral negotiations. The conflicting narratives underscore the fog of uncertainty surrounding trade diplomacy, though market participants appear cautiously hopeful that both sides are seeking a path to de-escalation....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8237; (P) 0.8273; (R1) 0.8306; More….

USD/CHF's corrective recovery from 0.8038 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Further rise would be seen but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.9200 to 0.8038 at 0.8482. On the downside, below 0.8196 minor support will bring retest of 0.8038. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

UK Retail Sales Beat Forecast, Pound Edges Lower

USD/JPY: Inflated by Fresh Risk Appetite But Still Lacks Clearer Direction Signal

Yen Loses Ground as Tokyo Core CPI Hits 2-Year High

USD/CAD Flatlines: Reversal Ahead?

USD/CAD Consolidates

EUR/USD Stuck in Consolidation: Rumours Abound, But Facts Remain Scarce

WTI Crude Oil Remains Bearish on Oversupply Fears

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Which is the Best Trade War Proxy in the FX Arena?
alt
Postcard from China - 10 Key Takeaways from Trip to China
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Apr -23 -22 -19
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Y/Y Apr 3.50% 2.90%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Apr 3.40% 3.20% 2.40%
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core-Core Y/Y Apr 3.10% 2.20%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Mar 0.40% -0.30% 1.00% 0.70%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Feb -0.40% -0.40% -0.60%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Feb 0.50% 0.00% 0.20%
14:00 USD UoM Consumer Sentiment Index Apr 50.7 50.8
14:00 USD UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations Apr 6.70%