CAD Surges after CPI Beat Expectations, Dollar Corrects Lower
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 4-20-22

CAD Surges after CPI Beat Expectations, Dollar Corrects Lower

Canadian Dollar surges in early US session after much stronger than expected consumer inflation data, which supports more aggressive tightening by BoC. Other commodity currencies are also strong. On the other hand, Dollar is trading broadly lower as recent rally lost momentum, in particular against Yen. Euro is also soft, together with Sterling and Swiss Franc. In other markets, European stocks are trading mildly higher while US futures point to higher open. Global benchmark treasury yields are paring recent sharp gains.

Technically, a focus for the rest of the day would be on whether Canadian Dollar could extend the post CPI rise. As for USD/CAD, it will need to break through 1.2519 minor support. EUR/CAD will need to break through 1.3541 temporary low to resume recent down trend. Similarly, GBP/CAD will also break through 1.6292 temporary low to resume down trend.

In Europe, at the time of the writing, FTSE is up 0.21%. DAX is up 1.22%. CAC is up 1.44%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.045 at 0.868. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.86%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.40%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -1.35%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.85%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0069 to 0.248.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2578; (P) 1.2612; (R1) 1.2656; More...

Immediate focus is on 1.2519 minor support in USD/CAD. Break there will target 1.2401 support first. Firm break there will resume larger decline from 1.2899 to retest 1.2005 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.2675 will flip bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Trade Balance (JPY) Mar -0.90T -0.48T -1.03T -1.07T
00:30 AUD Westpac Leading Index M/M Mar 0.30% -0.20% 0.40%
04:30 JPY Tertiary Industry Index M/M Feb -1.30% 0.30% -0.70% -0.20%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI M/M Mar 4.90% 3.40% 1.40%
06:00 EUR Germany PPI Y/Y Mar 30.90% 26.60% 25.90%
08:00 EUR Italy Trade Balance (EUR) Feb -1.66B -4.23B -5.05B
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Feb -9.4B -6.5B -7.7B
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Production M/M Feb 0.70% 0.80% 0.00% -0.70%
12:30 CAD CPI M/M Mar 1.40% 0.90% 1.00%
12:30 CAD CPI Y/Y Mar 6.70% 6.10% 5.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Common Y/Y Mar 2.80% 2.70% 2.60% 2.70%
12:30 CAD CPI Median Y/Y Mar 3.80% 3.50% 3.50%
12:30 CAD CPI Trimmed Y/Y Mar 4.70% 4.30% 4.30% 4.40%
13:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Mar 1.20% 0.70% 1.10%
14:00 USD Existing Home Sales Mar 5.80M 6.02M
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories 3.0M 9.4M
18:00 USD Fed's Beige Book