Euro Gains as ECB Official Signals More Rate Hikes Ahead, Yen Broadly Pressured
| Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-29-23 |
Euro Gains as ECB Official Signals More Rate Hikes Ahead, Yen Broadly Pressured |
Euro is trading mildly higher today following indications from a key ECB official that more interest rate hikes are in the pipeline for the central bank. Concurrently, the improving market sentiment across Europe is lending support to both Sterling and the Swiss Franc. However, Canadian Dollar emerges as the strongest for the day, fueled by robust oil prices. Conversely, Yen is facing widespread pressure as European benchmark treasury yields continue their rebound. Australian and New Zealand Dollars trail closely behind as the next weakest. Dollar's performance is mixed at the moment, but its recovery against Yen could potentially decelerate the greenback's decline elsewhere. From a technical standpoint, EUR/JPY's break of the 143.61 resistance level suggests that the pullback from 145.55 has already concluded. Further gains are expected to retest 145.55, with a break there extending the rebound from 137.37. Attention is also focused on GBP/JPY, which is currently pressing 163.32. A break at that level would align the outlook with EUR/JPY and trigger a more substantial rise to 165.99. A firm break there would resume the overall rebound from 155.33. In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.93%. DAX is up 0.90%. CAC is up 1.26%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.035 at 2.321. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.33%. Hong Kong HSI rose 2.06%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.16%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.22%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.077 to 0.307. |
EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.30; (P) 141.73; (R1) 142.40; More.... EUR/JPY's break of 143.61 resistance now argues that pull back form 15.55 has completed at 138.81 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 145.55 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rebound from 137.37 and target a test on 148.38 high. On the downside, though, below 142.21 minor support will mix up the outlook again and turn intraday bias neutral. | |
| GMT | Ccy | Events | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised |
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| 00:30 | AUD | Monthly CPI Y/Y Feb | 6.80% | 7.20% | 7.40% | | 06:00 | EUR | Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Apr | -29.5 | -29 | -30.5 | -30.6 | | 08:00 | CHF | Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Mar | -41.3 | -12.3 | | 08:30 | GBP | Mortgage Approvals Feb | 44K | 42K | 40K | | 08:30 | GBP | M4 Money Supply M/M Feb | -0.40% | 0.90% | 1.30% | 1.20% | | 13:00 | CHF | SNB Quarterly Bulletin | | 14:00 | USD | Pending Home Sales M/M Feb | -2.20% | 8.10% | | 14:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | 1.8M | 1.1M |
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