Sterling and Euro Rebound, Gold Jumps Amid Intensifying Trade Tensions

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 3-27-25

Sterling and Euro Rebound, Gold Jumps Amid Intensifying Trade Tensions

Global headlines remain focused on US President Donald Trump’s unfolding tariff regime. But traders are telling a slightly different story. FTSE and DAX slip into negative territory, but the pullback in equities remains limited. Sterling and Euro are both strengthening against Dollar indeed.

Tones out of London and Brussels are in stark contrast. UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves signaled a desire to avoid escalation, saying the UK has no intention to join the trade war at this stage. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen struck a firmer stance, warning the US tariffs would harm businesses and consumers. EU also vowed retaliation with a “robust toolbox.”

So far, it appears that the bounce in EUR/USD and GBP/USD are mainly due to Dollar's own weakness. If anything, Dollar’s decline suggests traders might already be pre-positioning for next week’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs. But it’s hard to draw firm conclusions yet, especially with quarter-end portfolio adjustments likely distorting some of the price action across assets....

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2858; (P) 1.2905; (R1) 1.2935; More...

GBP/USD rebounded notably today but stays in range below 1.3013 short term top. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Corrective fall from 1.3013 could still extend lower to channel support (now at 1.2806). But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2248 to 1.3013 at 1.2721 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3013 will resume the rally from 1.2099.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Bears Stick to 200-Day MA

EUR/USD Faces Further Decline Amid Market Jitters and Trump’s Tariff Threat

Hang Seng Index Technical Outlook: At Risk of Multi-Week Corrective Decline Within Major Bullish Trend

XAU/USD: Gold Rises Further on New US Tariffs

XNG/USD Analysis: Natural Gas Price Drops to March Low

Dollar Outperformed on (or is it Despite?) Risk-Off

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Bank of England Review - Slow and Steady
alt
FOMC Keeps Rates on Hold Amid Increased Uncertainty
alt
Fed Review: Cautious Stability
alt
Global FX: A Sudden and Decisive Change in Sentiment
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
09:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Feb 4.00% 3.80% 3.60% 3.80%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 21) 224K 225K 223K 225K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q4 F 2.40% 2.30% 2.30%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 F 2.30% 2.40% 2.40%
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Feb P -147.9B -134.6B -155.6B
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Feb P 0.30% 0.70% 0.80%
14:00 USD Pending Home Sales M/M Feb 0.90% -4.60%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 37B 9B