Yen Selloff Remains the Main Theme, Euro Softens on Weak Economic Sentiment
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-12-21

Yen Selloff Remains the Main Theme, Euro Softens on Weak Economic Sentiment

There is basically no change in the Yen selloff theme in the markets. But buying focus has shifted to commodity currencies, as led by Aussie and Kiwi, as well as Sterling. Euro is turning a touch weaker after poor German sentiment data, while the Pound is supported by job data. Dollar is sluggish as traders await the next moves in US yields and stocks.

Technically, CAD/JPY is set to take on 91.16 high as rally accelerates. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 73.80 to 61.8% projection of 73.80 to 91.16 from 84.65 at 95.37. Such development could be a prelude to corresponding breakout in other commodity Yen crosses, like 85.78 high in AUD/JPY and 80.17 high in NZD/JPY.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.48%. DAX is down -0.38%. CAC is down -0.58%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0016 at -0.117. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.94%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.43%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.25%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.05%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0012 to 0.096.

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EUR/AUD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5663; (P) 1.5761; (R1) 1.5823; More...

EUR/AUD's decline continues today and hit as low as 1.5643 so far. The break of 100% projection of 1.6434 to 1.5907 from 1.6232 at 1.5705 and near term falling channel support indicates downside acceleration. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 161.8% projection at 1.5379 next. On the upside, above 1.5754 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 1.5907 support turned resistance to bring another decline.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales Y/Y Sep -0.60% 1.50%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Sep 0.60% 0.80% 0.60%
23:50 JPY PPI Y/Y Sep 6.30% 5.90% 5.50% 5.80%
0:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Sep 13 -5 -6
0:30 AUD NAB Business Conditions Sep 5 14
6:00 GBP Claimant Count Change Sep -51.1K -58.6K
6:00 GBP ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) Aug 4.50% 4.50% 4.60%
6:00 GBP Average Earnings Including Bonus 3M/Y Aug 7.20% 8.40% 8.30%
9:00 EUR Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment Oct 22.3 20.4 26.5
9:00 EUR Germany ZEW Current Situation Oct 21.6 29.5 31.9
9:00 EUR Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Oct 21 26.5 31.1
10:00 USD NFIB Business Optimism Index Sep 99.1 99.7 100.1