Risk Rebound Fades as Focus Turns to Jobless Claims and BoE
Action Insight Daily Report 3-26-20

Risk Rebound Fades as Focus Turns to Jobless Claims and BoE

Asian markets turn softer today as boost from US stimulus package fades very quickly. Focus will instead turn to BoE rate decision and US jobless claims. In particular, the latter would reveal how serious the initial impact of coronavirus outbreak in the US is. In the currency markets, commodity currencies turn generally softer today as led by Australian Dollar. Yen and Swiss Franc reclaim some grounds.

Technically, we'd maintain the view that markets are staying in consolidations for the moment, including stocks. Dollar and Yen are both set to resume recent rally sooner or later, as the correction completes. The main question in which one would be stronger. 112.22 key resistance in USD/JPY is the level to determine the relative strength.

In Asia, Nikkei closed down -4.51%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.50%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.41%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.83%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is down -0.0432 at -0.007, turned negative. Overnight, DOW rose 2.39%. S&P 500 rose 1.15%. NASDAQ dropped -0.45%. 10-year yield rose 0.042 to 0.858.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

Flash PMI Gives More Evidence that Japan has Entered Recession, Unlikely...
RBNZ Announced QE to Tame Tightening Market Conditions
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Traders Trimmed Bets on Commodities amidst...
Central Bank Views | China Watch | Oil N' Gold | Special Topics

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.74; (P) 111.21; (R1) 111.67; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. More consolidative trading could be seen first. Near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 106.75 support holds. Decisive break of 112.22 key resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 114.54 resistance next. On the downside, break of 106.75 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 101.18 low instead.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Forecast Update: A Much Deeper Contraction

Asian Open – Stimulus Rally Loses Momentum, The Data Is Going To Be Bad, Oil About To Feel The Pain Again, Gold Volatility Remains

NZD/USD Is Likely To Face Resistance Near 0.6000

Cable Chaotic, Claims Coming, 1929 Analog

Initial Claims Expectations Are Unimaginable!

USD/JPY 111.60 And The Battle To Be King Of The FX Safe Havens

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
Canada's Economy Enters Uncharted Waters
Macro US: Sharp GDP Contraction But We Still Expect A Rebound In H2
Eurozone Economy Approaching the Growth Cliff
Australia: Federal Budget to Be Hit By COVID–19 Recession – Increase in Bond Supply of $250bn
Why the Fed's Currency Swaps May Not Calm the Dollar Funding Stress
Europe's Economy in Freefall
Flash PMI Gives More Evidence that Japan has Entered Recession, Unlikely to be Rescued by Stimulus
Australian Unemployment Rate Set to Reach 11% by June
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Corporate Service Price Index Y/Y Feb 2.10% 2.20% 2.30%
7:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Apr 8.2 9.8
9:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Feb 5.00% 5.20%
9:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
9:30 GBP Retail Sales M/M Feb 0.00% 0.90%
9:30 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Feb 0.60% 0.80%
9:30 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Feb 1.00% 1.20%
9:30 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Feb -0.20% 1.60%
12:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10%
12:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility (GBP) 645B 645B
12:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
12:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Mar 20) 281K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q4 F 2.10% 2.10%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q4 F 1.30% 1.30%
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Feb P 0.00% -0.40%
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Feb -64.5B -65.9B
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage -9B