Dollar Tumbles on Poor Data and Tariff Threats, Risking More Downside
Action Insight Daily Report 12-3-19

Dollar Tumbles on Poor Data and Tariff Threats, Risking More Downside

The US markets were sold off deeply overnight after after poor ISM manufacturing data and renewed tariff threats. Dollar also suffered deep selling pressure, together with Canadian. Though, there was no clear fund flows into the Japanese Yen, as risk aversion was countered by surge in major treasury yields. On the other hand, Australian and New Zealand Dollars are the stronger ones instead.

After yesterday's strong selloff, focus is now on weakness in the greenback. AUD/USD's break of 0.6834 resistance now suggests short term bottoming at 0.6754. Further rise could be seen back to 0.6929 resistance. EUR/USD is now eyeing 1.1097 resistance. Break will indicate completion of pull back from 1.1179 and bring further rise to this resistance. USD/CHF is extending the consolidation form 1.0027 with another fall but we'd expect strong support around 0.9868 to contain downside. However, firm break there would add to the case of overall bearishness in Dollar.

In Asia, Nikkei is down -0.66%. Hong Kong HSI is down -0.15%. China Shanghai SSE is down -0.11%. Singapore Strait Times is down -0.40%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0226 at -0.019, heading back to 0%. Overnight, DOW dropped -0.96%. S&P 500 dropped -0.86%. NASDAQ dropped -1.12%. 10-year yield rose 0.060 to 1.836, back above 1.8%.

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AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6779; (P) 0.6802; (R1) 0.6843; More...

AUD/USD's strong rebound and break of 0.6834 resistance suggests that pull back from 0.6929 has completed at 0.6754, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is now mildly on the upside for retesting 0.6929 resistance first. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.6670 and target 100% projection of 0.6670 to 0.6929 from 0.6754 at 0.7013. On the downside, break of 0.6754 will resume the fall form 0.6929 to retest 0.6670 low.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:50 JPY Monetary Base Y/Y Nov 3.30% 3.40% 3.10%
00:01 GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor Y/Y Nov -4.90% -0.40% 0.10%
00:30 AUD Current Account Balance (AUD) Q3 7.9B 6.3B 5.9B 4.7B
03:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision 0.75% 0.75% 0.75%
07:30 CHF CPI M/M Nov -0.10% -0.20%
07:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Nov -0.10% -0.30%
09:30 GBP Construction PMI Nov 44.5 44.2
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI M/M Oct 0.00% 0.10%
10:00 EUR Eurozone PPI Y/Y Oct -1.90% -1.20%
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