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Situational awareness - October 16, 2018

Good Tuesday morning from Salt Lake City.

The 2018 midterms are three weeks from today. Make your picks in our 2018 Election Challenge. We've got a $50 gift card for the winner - http://bit.ly/2Ed4dhj

Happy 143rd birthday to Brigham Young University, which was established on this day in 1875.

Executive summary: Love and McAdams face off in a fiery debate. Love raised more money last quarter, but McAdams has more cash on hand. The federal deficit jumped 17% last year.

  TICK TOCK   

7 days until in-person early voting begins (10/23/2018)
14 days until the last day to register to vote online or in person (10/30/2018)
16 days until in-person early voting ends (11/2/2018)
21 days until the 2018 midterm elections (11/6/2018)
104 days until the first day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (1/28/2019)
151 days until the final day of the 2019 Utah Legislature (3/14/2019)
749 days until the 2020 presidential election (11/3/2020)

Today At Utah Policy

Two Democratic-aligned groups join the air war in Utah's 4th CD
By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor
It's not just Republican groups pouring advertising money into Utah's 4th Congressional District race. Two Democratic groups have made six-figure ad buys to support Ben McAdams's bid to upset incumbent Republican Mia Love....McAdams has more campaign cash than Love ahead of the 2018 midterms
By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor
Democrat Ben McAdams has more cash in the bank than Republican Mia Love heading into the final stretch of the 2018 campaign....Love and McAdams face off in testy 4th District debate
By Bob Bernick, Contributing Editor
The much-anticipated live TV debate between Mia Love and Ben McAdams provided a few fireworks Monday night, but likely not enough to move the needle much either way on this very close 4th Congressional District contest....Podcast: Forecasting the 2018 election with Noah Rudnick
By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor
Election forecaster Noah Rudnick joins us to talk about what data models can tell us about the 2018 midterm elections....2018 UtahPolicy.com Election Challenge
By Bryan Schott, Managing Editor
Welcome to the 2018 UtahPolicy.com election challenge!...CYBER 24 Episode 31: Protecting Utah elections from hackers
By Marty Carpenter
By the time you are listening to this podcast the 2018 Election will be just a few weeks away and voters in Utah will have ballots in-hand ready to be filled out and mailed back....

  OTHER UTAH HEADLINES   

Deseret News

Editorial: You've got your ballot, now vote

Utah man who allegedly mailed ricin to White House to remain behind bars

Plenty of friction in Utah's 4th District debate between Mia Love and Ben McAdams

Utah governor declares state of emergency due to drought

Regents not doing enough to control college tuition increases, audit says

Despite top performance numbers, USTAR's fate hangs in the balance

Why Utah women haven't been able to get birth control directly from pharmacists - yet

Salt Lake Tribune

Editorial: Vote yes on Utah Propositions 2, 3 and 4

Editorial: Vote for Question 1 to keep Utah rolling

Utah's colleges raise tuition without getting much scrutiny from the board that's supposed to supervise them, critical audit says

Gov. Herbert declares drought emergency for all of Utah

Poll: Mitt Romney winning men, women, Republicans and independents in final weeks of Senate race

On immigration, Romney favors a border wall and merit-based citizenship; Wilson opposes wall, supports legal status for undocumented residents already here

Rep. Mia Love has lost her lead and is now tied with Ben McAdams in Utah's 4th District race

Audit says Utah's Department of Workforce Services isn't properly overseeing federal funding for needy families

Rep. Mia Love and Ben McAdams debate in Utah's closest major race

Other

Mia Love and Ben McAdams debate in tight toss-up race (Daily Herald)

Utah House District 11 hopefuls say medical marijuana, government distrust are key issues (Standard-Examiner)

  NATIONAL HEADLINES  

The U.S. budget deficit jumped 17% last year to $779 billion, which is the highest level since 2012. The growing deficit was fueled primarily by a big decline in corporate tax revenues from the Trump tax cuts - https://nyti.ms/2pWUEZY
ALERT! The Department of Homeland Securit says they're working to identify who is behind an increasing number of attempted cyber attacks on U.S. election bases ahead of the 2018 midterm elections - https://nbcnews.to/2pVebtv
It's looking more likely that Democrats will take control of the House while Republicans will retain a majority in the Senate following November - http://bit.ly/2pXXUUB
Democrats have raised more money than their Republican opponents in 32 of the closest 45 House races this year - https://nyti.ms/2pVeeFH
The U.S. Senate race in Arizona is getting nasty. During a debate on Monday, Republican Martha McSally accused Democrat Kyrsten Sinema of "treason" after reports about Sinema's comments as an anti-war activist surfaced. During a 2003 radio interview, Sinema was asked about joining the Taliban, to which Sinema responded: "I don't care if you want to do that, go ahead" - https://politi.co/2pTnJFs
Donald Trump Jr. attacked the heritage of Texas Democrat Beto O'Rourke, calling him "an Irish guy pretending to be Hispanic" - http://bit.ly/2pUdDEj
29 million Hispanics are eligible to vote in the 2018 midterms, making up 12.8 percent of all eligible voters in November - http://bit.ly/2pSZQOk

Saudi Arabia is preparing to release a report claiming journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed by mistake during an interrogation gone wrong. President Trump suggested on Monday that Khashoggi was the victim of "rogue killers" - https://nyti.ms/2pVdL6p
Boring but important: Michael Cohen, the former personal attorney for Donald Trump, has spent more than 50 hours speaking with investigators from special counsel Robert Mueller - http://bit.ly/2pXmKUQ
Whoa! Members of the right-wing group Patriot Prayer stationed themselves on a rooftop in downtown Portland, Oregon with a cache of guns prior to a protest earlier this summer - http://bit.ly/2pWW7zs
The United Arab Emirates hired US ex-special ops soldiers to carry out targeted assassinations of political rivals in Yemen - http://bit.ly/2pWmDbZ
A judge has thrown out adult film actress Stormy Daniels's defamation lawsuit against President Donald Trump. She claimed he defamed her when he said her claim she was paid off to keep their relationship quiet was a "con job." Daniels was ordered to pay Trump's legal fees - https://wapo.st/2pTlZvU
President Trump has raised more than $100 million for his 2020 re-election bid - https://wapo.st/2pVXcri
Republican megadonor Sheldon Adelson and his family funneled $32 million into GOP re-election coffers in September - https://politi.co/2pWX5eW
A Republican U.S. Senate candidate in Michigan says he made a "terrible error" when a campaign ad inadvertently showed a swastika. He explained the image was stock footage that was mistakenly inserted in the commercial - http://bit.ly/2pWKOqK
A Republican U.S. Senate candidate in Minnesota once compared former first lady Michelle Obama to a "chimp" on Facebook in 2009 - http://bit.ly/2pXtlP7
Indicted GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter is slinging anti-Muslim attacks against his Democratic opponent, who is not a Muslim - http://bit.ly/2pUFDb1
A caravan of 1,600 Honduran immigrants is heading toward the U.S. with hopes of finding asylum. It's the second caravan to head toward the U.S. from Central America this year - http://bit.ly/2pUMsJq
TV host Tucker Carlson says he can't go to restaurants anymore because of anti-Trump insults being hurled at him while he is trying to eat - http://bit.ly/2pVY0wk
A dating app targeted at Donald Trump supporters leaked the personal information of its entire database of users on the day it launched to the public - https://tcrn.ch/2pWmdSQ
Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen dies at the age of 65 - http://bit.ly/2pWUNN0

Some daycares are starting to charge parents fees for being on a waitlist as demand begins to grow - http://bit.ly/2pSZUO4

  ON THIS DAY IN HISTORY  

1793 - Marie Antoinette is guillotined at the height of the French Revolution.
1847 - The novel Jane Eyre by Charlotte Bronte is published.
1859 - Abolitionist John Brown leads a raid on the federal arsenal at Harpers Ferry, West Virginia.
1875 - Brigham Young University is founded.
1916 - The nation's first birth control clinic was opened in New York by Margaret Sanger and two other women. Officials shut down the clinic 10 days later.
1923 - The Walt Disney Company is founded.
1946 - At Nuremberg, Germany, 10 high-ranking Nazi officials were executed by hanging for crimes committed during World War II.
1968 - American track and field athletes Tommie Smith and John Carlos were kicked off the US Olympic team for participating in a Black Power salute during the Mexico City games.
1972 - A small plane carrying U.S. House Democratic leader Hale Boggs of Louisiana, fellow Democratic Rep. Nick Begich of Alaska and two others was reported missing on a flight from Anchorage to Juneau in Alaska. The plane was never found.
1973 - North Vietnamese diplomat Le Duc Tho and U.S. national security adviser Henry Kissinger were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for their Paris negotiations that led to a Vietnam War cease-fire agreement. Le Duc Tho refused to accept the award.
1978 - Karol Jozef Wojtyla was elected pope and took the name John Paul II. He was the first non-Italian pontiff since 1523.
1987 - 18-month-old Jessica McClure was rescued from an abandoned well in Texas, 58 hours after she first fell into it.

Policy News

Salt Lake Chamber hosts international trip to Peru
A delegation of nearly 30 Salt Lake Chamber members and business leaders traveled to Peru to visit the South American country known for its stunning natural beauty and ancient civilization....

More National Headlines

Dems worry of 2016-style stumbles, as GOP sees chance of holding off 'wave' (FOX News)

State of Play: Tightening Arizona race threatens Democrats' slim Senate hopes (Reuters)

Police investigating suspicious envelope sent to Sen. Collins' home (Politico)

Cruz plays the inside game to beat O'Rourke (Politico)

Was Bill Clinton's Lewinsky affair an 'abuse of power'? (BBC News)

Ex-Senate staffer linked to NYT reporter pleads guilty in leak probe (USA Today)

Harvard University's high-stakes affirmative action case heads to federal court (FOX News)

Don't expect a big Democratic wave this fall, a new CNBC poll says (CNBC)

Judge dismisses Stormy Daniels' defamation lawsuit against Trump (CBS News)

Jeff Bezos: Amazon will keep working with the DoD (CNN)

Trump Visits Areas Slammed By Hurricane Michael (NPR)

Wise Words

Attitude

"Weakness of attitude becomes weakness of character." Albert Einstein

 

Lighter Side

Technology

"President Trump has a brand new technologically upgraded presidential limousine. It's supposed to be very fancy. And the latest with all the technology. For Trump's protection, the limo comes with bulletproof windows and no Twitter." Conan O'Brien

 

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